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METHODOLOGY
State-of the-art in AI&DM, as presented in IDEATM, were used
to build an intelligent model that would accurately represent the PVT at any
given location in the facility.
Gas compression capacity is the major bottleneck to production at Prudhoe
Bay and typically field oil rate will be maximized by preferentially
producing the lowest GOR wells. As the ambient temperature increases from
0 and 40 oF, the maximum (or “marginal”) GOR in the field decreases
from approximately 35,000 to 28,000 scf/stb. A temperature swing from 0 to 40
oF in one day equates to an approximate oil volume reduction of
40,000 bbls, or 1000 bopd per oF rise in temperature.
The reduction in achievable oil rate, per degree Fahrenheit increase in
temperature, increases with ambient temperature. This is due in part to the
increase in slope of the curve of shipped gas versus temperature, and also
to the reduction in limiting or “marginal” GOR as gas capacity decreases.
To maximize total oil rate under a variety of field conditions it is first
necessary to understand the relationship between the inlet gas rate and
pressure at the central compression plant, and the gas rates and discharge
pressures into the gas transit line system at each of the separation facilities.
Gas capacity constraints start to affect oil production at about 0 oF,
with increasing impact as the temperature increases. The estimated benefit of
this tool for optimizing oil rate during temperature swings and equipment
maintenance is 1-2 MBOPD for 75% of the year.
Attempts were made to develop a deterministic model of the gas transit
system using commercial pipeline modeling software. However, it was
extremely difficult to obtain sufficient historical data to validate the model.
Development of a neural network model was undertaken to determine if this
approach would provide a robust description of the observed gas rates and
pressures with less stringent data requirements.
RESULTS
Following figures show the accuracy of the neural network models that were
built using IDEATM to model the PVT behavior in Prudhoe Bay
surface facility. Such models were built and validated by blind data for all
the facilities and the Central Compression Plant.
Similar models were built using IDEATM to model the PVT behavior
for all the seperation facilities in Prudhoe Bay surface facility. Following
table shows the accuracy of models.
IDEATM allows development of Type Curves for any model that is
developed. Following are a series of Type Curves that were developed for
Separation Facilities at Prudhoe Bay.
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Phone: 713.876.7379 Email: Info@IntelligentSolutionsInc.com
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Copyright, Intelligent Solutions, Inc. 1996-2009